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NHC eyes system with ‘high’ chance of turning into depression

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October 8, 2025
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NHC eyes system with ‘high’ chance of turning into depression
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Forecasters are tracking a broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave in the Atlantic, which has a medium to high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. The National Hurricane Center reported on October 5 that Invest 95L (AL95) has a 40% chance of formation over 48 hours and a 70% chance of formation over seven days. This system is expected to approach the Leeward Islands by late in the week.

The tropical wave, referred to as AL95, is producing disorganized thunderstorms and showers several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. The hurricane center stated that environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, predicting a tropical depression will likely form this week as the system moves quickly across the central tropical Atlantic.

Forecasters are also tracking a weak area of low pressure located over the north-central Gulf. This system is producing showers and thunderstorms near the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. However, the hurricane center noted that the system is beginning to move inland and development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds and land interaction.

More than four months after the start of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, several hurricanes and tropical storms have been churning in the tropics, but none have made landfall yet. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30 every year, with the most activity from August to October. If another weather system develops into a tropical storm, it would be named Jerry — next on the list of 2025 Atlantic hurricane names.

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In a unique start to his ruling against President Donald Trump’s administration on September 30, U.S. District Court Judge William Young included a scanned handwritten note sent to his office. The note read: “Trump has pardons and tanks – what do you have?” At the top of Young’s opinion in AAUP v. Rubio, which ruled that Trump’s effort to deport foreign-born student protesters was unconstitutional.

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Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Priscilla formed in the Pacific Ocean near Mexico on October 4. By 1 p.m. ET on October 5, forecasters reported that Priscilla was slowly strengthening and could bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to coastal southwestern Mexico. Additional strengthening is predicted during the next several days, with Priscilla likely to become a hurricane later today or tonight.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration recommends preparing now for hurricanes by developing an evacuation plan, assembling disaster supplies, getting an insurance checkup, creating a family communication plan, and strengthening your home.

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