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Rapidus Has Just 2 Years to Beat TSMC & Samsung in Tech Edge

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August 10, 2025
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Rapidus Has Just 2 Years to Beat TSMC & Samsung in Tech Edge
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TSMC and Samsung are currently competing to introduce the 2nm technology first. Rapidus, which has put Japan on the map for leading-edge lithography, announced trial production of its 2nm process last month. The company plans to gradually set up production lines to increase output but faces uncertainty similar to what Samsung encountered with its 3nm GAA technology.

Rapidus installed EUV machines in December to support mass manufacturing of advanced wafers and introduced its first prototype on July 18, signaling progress towards joining the major semiconductor producers. The Japanese government has been supportive by approving policies that facilitate Rapidus’s goals and committing to invest 1.7 trillion yen (approximately $12 billion). By the end of 2025, the company expects to receive 100 billion yen ($677.6 million) to achieve mass production of 2nm wafers.

However, if Rapidus fails, Japan’s semiconductor and materials companies may move overseas to continue their manufacturing efforts. This could diminish Japan’s advantage, as seen in other regions where semiconductor manufacturers often employ local qualified personnel and access sensitive technology information.

Several factors might prompt Rapidus to set up its facilities outside Japan, including the ability to hire skilled workers at lower costs. Countries seeking to claim bragging rights over companies like Rapidus may offer sweeteners such as favorable policies.

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In a unique start to his ruling against President Donald Trump’s administration on September 30, U.S. District Court Judge William Young included a scanned handwritten note sent to his office. The note read: “Trump has pardons and tanks – what do you have?” At the top of Young’s opinion in AAUP v. Rubio, which ruled that Trump’s effort to deport foreign-born student protesters was unconstitutional.

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With government support, a scenario where Rapidus decides to leave seems unlikely.

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