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AMD vs. NVIDIA: Who Will Dominate AI Next?

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August 5, 2025
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AMD vs. NVIDIA: Who Will Dominate AI Next?
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NVIDIA has dominated AI markets since 2022, but AMD is significantly ramping up its AI lineup under CEO Lisa Su’s leadership. The competition for NVIDIA looks set to intensify.

**Team Red Didn’t See the Big Impact of AI Hype Back in 2022**

If someone wonders why NVIDIA led early in AI, it’s because they were among the first to introduce market-ready AI chip solutions, while competitors like AMD and Intel were still focusing on CPUs and GPUs. ChatGPT’s emergence made AMD realize AI’s massive potential, leading CEO Lisa Su to announce a shift towards AI in 2023. However, by then, NVIDIA had already flooded the market with its Ampere and Hopper solutions and a robust software ecosystem.

**AMD vs. NVIDIA’s AI Ecosystem: Competing Against Jensen Isn’t Just About Introducing a Powerful Chip**

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In a unique start to his ruling against President Donald Trump’s administration on September 30, U.S. District Court Judge William Young included a scanned handwritten note sent to his office. The note read: “Trump has pardons and tanks – what do you have?” At the top of Young’s opinion in AAUP v. Rubio, which ruled that Trump’s effort to deport foreign-born student protesters was unconstitutional.

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NVIDIA’s tight control over developer tools and AI frameworks means AMD faces challenges in becoming as mainstream as NVIDIA. Building an AI infrastructure isn’t just about acquiring millions of AI chips; it requires adoption into a whole system, or what we call “Jensen’s arena.” For Big Tech, switching to AMD was more expensive than using NVIDIA’s chips despite AMD offering higher capabilities.

Investor/media hype often drives company decisions, and in this case, NVIDIA saw an opportunity. Big Tech mentioned NVIDIA’s equipment in PR statements, boosting investor confidence and giving companies a competitive edge since NVIDIA’s chips were seen as the go-to solution. If OpenAI or Microsoft announced buying AMD’s equipment, it would be perceived as sub-par development, so Team Red had image issues too.

**AMD’s Competitiveness and Future Plans**

AMD started from ground zero when NVIDIA reached trillions in valuation. They began by offering competitive prices, higher availability, and robust ecosystems. The Instinct MI300 series is generally 20%-30% cheaper than NVIDIA’s counterparts and offers a better price-to-performance ratio, attracting firms like Microsoft and OpenAI.

AMD’s next-gen Instinct MI400 series promises cutting-edge HBM4 technology and 50% higher memory compared to existing solutions. The company has also shifted focus to rack-scale solutions, introducing the top-end Helios AI server rack with EPYC Venice CPUs onboard, competing against NVIDIA’s NVL144 offerings.

**AMD Q2 Earnings: A Crucial Moment for Lisa Su**

AMD is set to report Q2 earnings tomorrow, expected to show an increase in YoY revenue driven by OpenAI and others. In the AI space alone, AMD aims for positivity but needs to be at its best to compete with NVIDIA. The upcoming quarter will determine if AMD can establish a full ecosystem rivaling NVIDIA.

This analysis highlights that while AMD has promising products, competing against NVIDIA requires more than just superior performance; it necessitates a comprehensive and robust ecosystem.

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